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Wednesday, December 11, 2024, 6:10 am

Wednesday, December 11, 2024, 6:10 am

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India can celebrate Trump’s triumph, especially as the president-elect has openly acknowledged PM Modi as a friend.

India can celebrate Trump's triumph, especially as the president-elect has openly acknowledged PM Modi as a friend.
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Trump’s Triumph.

Trump it is. Donald J Trump. Respecting majority will is essential in democracies, as there are no perfect ones. Although nearly half of Americans did not vote for him, the world must recognize him as the head of the most powerful nation. America is the world’s largest economic and military power, making this the most important elective position. Democratic nominee Kamala Harris was universally regarded as a better choice for maintaining stability and predictability in the world. However, white, inward-looking Americans facing economic hardship chose the big-talking real estate billionaire.

For the next four years, the world will have to deal with a transactional entity. The global security superstructure’s long-held beliefs must now pass the Trump test. For the next four years, it is hoped that the new White House occupant would not undermine traditional institutions by adopting a penny-counting approach to domestic and international policies. This helps the adversaries of democracy. The reaction of Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping to Trump’s victory will become obvious in the coming months. Two ongoing wars will feel the consequences right away.

Trump threatens to cut off military and economic help to Ukraine and appears to accept Russian takeover of hostile territory in the almost two-year-old assault. Unlike Biden, Trump may not be willing to pay to defend Ukraine from Putin’s imperial ambitions. This may move Russia’s danger closer to the European border, which is acceptable. Trump is not devoted to maintaining post-war defense infrastructure. During his first term, he encouraged NATO allies to strengthen their own military. In his second term, he may encourage them to organize their own security arrangements rather of relying on American promises.

The outcome of the war in Ukraine under Trump’s presidency will have a significant impact on the security of European states who were formerly protected by NATO. Despite skepticism over the Ukraine war, Israel’s ongoing attacks in Gaza and Lebanon are likely to gain support from hawkish Benjamin Netanyahu’s alliance with Trump. The latter has expressed support for Netanyahu’s efforts to eliminate Palestinian resistance in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.

Trump is likely to meddle in West Asia, focusing on Iran.
Trump’s return raises the possibility of accelerating Iran’s nuclear development, potentially leading to Saudi and other Islamic states developing their own nuclear weapons. However, Trump’s homecoming may have increased tensions in West Asia. Trump’s economic strategy includes imposing high tariffs on imported goods.
Biden improved on the policies he enforced during his first term.

Tariffs on Chinese goods are popular among Trump supporters, despite their doubtful economic benefits. Trump may be interested in some Indian exports, but given his transactional tendency, the two countries can work together to improve economic relations. Unlike China, India does not constitute a security or economic threat to American hegemony. The rising threat from China may strengthen America’s resolve to maintain its position in the global security order. During the campaign, Trump recognized India as a critical friend in the growing security system and praised Indian-Americans for their major contribution to the American economy.

Trump is unlikely to be influenced by a bunch of hyper-active Americans professing to be consciencekeepers of the globe, pinpricking others on human rights and religious freedoms while ignoring terrible injustices right beneath their noses.
Democrats face the daunting task of rebuilding the party and regaining support from traditional blue-collar, Hispanic, and college-educated voters. The party has not seen a charismatic leader since Barack Obama. Harris’ challenge to Trump and subsequent loss are unlikely to lead to a substantial role in the Democratic Party. It needs new blood.

With Republicans in charge of both the Senate and the House of Representatives, Trump could shape the presidency in his own image. Trump’s promises to deport tens of thousands of illegal immigrants, bomb Mexico, and build an impenetrable wall may prove difficult to carry out. Despite the fact that he will inherit a strong economy with over 2% growth, low inflation, and increasing job numbers, he should avoid imposing punishing tariffs that would only weaken the US economy.

Despite a record-high deficit, he should refrain from lowering corporate taxes, as he did in his first term, which did not benefit the general public. Having Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, as a mentor should not hinder his ability to shape economic and security policies. The unconventional White House inhabitant has made America and the world more intriguing throughout the next four years. India may rejoice in Trump’s triumph, especially because the president-elect has openly acknowledged Prime Minister Modi as a friend.

Dr. Abhishek Verma


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