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Monday, December 23, 2024, 3:21 pm

Monday, December 23, 2024, 3:21 pm

Kejriwal’s Gamble: High Stakes in the 2025 Delhi Assembly Elections

Delhi Assembly Elections
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The 2025 Delhi Assembly elections mark a critical moment for Arvind Kejriwal and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). After a decade of political dominance in the national capital, Kejriwal faces formidable challenges, including a reinvigorated BJP, a competitive Congress, internal party fractures, and controversies that could reshape Delhi’s political future.

AAP’s Dominance and the Changing Political Landscape

Kejriwal’s rise from an anti-corruption crusader to the Chief Minister of Delhi has been remarkable. AAP’s landslide victories in 2015 and 2020, winning 67 and 62 out of 70 seats respectively, solidified its grip on Delhi. However, the 2025 elections present an entirely different landscape.

The BJP, which has yet to claim Delhi’s Assembly, is doubling down on its efforts. Simultaneously, the Congress, led by Sandeep Dikshit, son of the late Sheila Dikshit, has re-entered the fray with renewed vigor. This triangular contest is set to intensify the electoral battle.

Controversies and Legal Challenges

One of the most significant hurdles for Kejriwal is the Excise Policy case, in which the Delhi Lieutenant Governor has approved prosecution against him. Allegations of corruption have cast a shadow over AAP’s clean image, giving opposition parties ample ammunition to target Kejriwal’s leadership.

Internal Party Dynamics and Cracks in AAP’s Base

Internal fissures have also surfaced within AAP. The resignation of prominent leaders like Rajendra Pal Gautam and Rajkumar Anand, who accused the party of neglecting Dalit issues, has highlighted discontent among key segments of AAP’s voter base. These defections pose a significant challenge to AAP’s commitment to inclusivity and social justice, long seen as its strengths.

Welfare Policies: A Key to Voter Loyalty

Despite these challenges, AAP continues to rely on its governance record and welfare schemes to maintain voter loyalty. Kejriwal’s government has announced initiatives like:

  • Free electricity for households,
  • Mukhyamantri Mahila Samman Yojana, offering financial support to women,
  • Sanjeevani Yojana, providing free healthcare for senior citizens, and
  • Special benefits for auto-rickshaw drivers.

The transformation of Delhi’s government schools and the establishment of Mohalla Clinics remain flagship achievements that Kejriwal will highlight to counter the BJP and Congress narratives.

The INDIA Bloc’s Complex Dynamics

While AAP is part of the INDIA bloc, a national-level alliance of opposition parties, it remains a rival to Congress in Delhi.

Crucial Voter Demographics

Key voter groups will play a decisive role:

  1. Dalit Voters: Traditionally a strong support base for AAP, defections and allegations of neglect could hurt the party. Both BJP and Congress are likely to court disenchanted Dalit voters.
  2. Muslim Voters: Constituting 15–18% of Delhi’s population, the Muslim community has been a significant factor in AAP’s past victories. However, the lack of an alliance with Congress may weaken AAP’s hold on this demographic, with Congress capitalizing on growing discontent.

The Road Ahead

The stakes are incredibly high for Kejriwal. The BJP’s aggressive campaign, controversies, internal rifts, and a divided opposition present formidable challenges. Yet, Kejriwal’s resilience, his governance track record, and his ability to connect with voters remain his key strengths.

As the 2025 elections approach, Delhi’s political landscape is poised for a fierce and transformative battle. Whether Kejriwal can navigate these turbulent waters to secure a third consecutive term remains to be seen.


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